CALCULATORS · EXPECTANCY

Trading expectancy calculator

The only number that says whether a strategy makes money: what the average trade returns once the winners and the losers are weighed together.

Does this system actually pay?

A 70% win rate loses money if the losers are three times the winners. Expectancy collapses win rate and payoff into one figure, and if it is negative no amount of discipline will save it.

HOW IT WORKS

Four steps, in order

1

Enter the win rate from your own records.

2

Add the average winner and average loser.

3

Set how many trades you take a year.

4

Read what one trade is worth.

Expectancy

E = (win% × avg win) − (loss% × avg loss)

Per trade
$105.00
In R
+0.35R
Over 100 trades
$10,500.00
Over a year
$21,000.00

Frequent questions

Short, practical answers. Trade-offs explained, no advice framing.

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